Archive for May, 2009.

Discount Futures Trading – 7 Common Mistakes to Avoid

Discount futures trading has encouraged vast numbers of people to enter the financial markets with high hopes of making their fortune. But the majority lose their money within a few months.

How can you avoid this fate? Forewarned is forearmed, so let’s examine briefly the main reasons so many people fail.

1. Lack of education. Most people simply don’t know enough about the futures market. This applies especially to the foreign exchange (Forex) market. They’ve read a sales letter or web page that emphasises the quick profits and easy money that can be made, convince themselves that this is what they’ve been looking for and that soon they’ll be rich. So they dive in, impatient to make those easy profits, and then more often than not they are quickly disillusioned – and broke.

This is a shame, because most of these traders then abandon the idea of ever making any money in the financial markets. If they had invested just a little in some basic education they would have saved themselves a lot more money in the longer term, and would be far better placed to make large profits.

2. Getting snared by a phoney. A lot of people buy a book or course from someone who purports to be an expert but who doesn’t actually do any trading himself. The internet is full of such people. Always ask the person selling you the information how much he made himself using his methods over the last month. If he is genuine he won’t mind in the least telling you.

3. Jumping in head first. Never jump into futures trading without having run a successful demo account first. Nearly every online broker has demo account facilities where you can trade with “fantasy money”, so if you lose it all it doesn’t matter. The important thing is to learn from any mistakes you make. Treat the money as if it were real. If you trade recklessly on the grounds that it isn’t real money so it doesn’t matter, then you won’t learn. Aim to make a steady profit with your trades so as to increase your  confidence when you come to trade with real money.

4. Taking too much risk. Only use capital you can afford to lose. Only risk up to 5 per cent of your capital on any one trade. You will have losing trades, sometimes several in a row. Make sure you can withstand such a run. When you have a losing trade don’t try to recover the loss with your next trade by increasing your risk. Just stick to your risk policy and you’ll recover. Don’t place all your trades in just one or two markets. Diversify your investments.

5. Not having a trading system. You should know when to enter a trade and when to leave it. Never trade for the sake of trading. Always have a stop loss (unless the type of trade doesn’t call for one, e.g. covered warrants), and with foreign exchange and other volatile markets you should always use limit orders, so you exit the trade as soon as you’ve reached your target. Otherwise greed can take over and you can lose all your gains.

6. Becoming greedy or complacent. Futures trading is high risk. The market is ruled by greed and fear. Better to make a small profit whilst managing your risk well than to make a large profit whilst having put too much of your capital at risk, because if you do this once too often you may get wiped out. Never try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. Not even the experts do that. Aim to make a steady profit month by month or year by year.

7. Skipping on research. Whether you follow technical analysis or fundamentals, or a combination of both, make sure you have thoroughly
investigated the market you are trading and that you can articulate the reasons why you believe the market will move up or down.

Philip Gegan

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2 comments Author: Philip Filled under: Discount Trading

Discount Futures Trading – A Few Things You Need To Know

Discount futures trading has grown up since the late 1990s. Before that there was only plain old ordinary futures trading. Without the internet, you actually had to use a telephone and ring your broker every time you wanted to place a trade. Can you imagine?

And it was time consuming. Good brokers were hard to find and word of mouth was the main method. It was all very expensive and so only the wealthy could engage in it. Now almost anybody can trade on the financial makets because of computer technology and the internet.

The origins of futures trading lie in farmers and traders requiring certainty as to the price of the commodity they were buying or selling at some point in the future. Farmers could sell their wheat, for example, a couple of months before harvesting, and receive a guaranteed price. They risked losing out if there was a bumper harvest, but then if the price went down for any reason they were protected by the guaranteed price.

This came to be known as hedging. You save yourself from a disastrous harvest, if you’re a farmer, or an increase in the price of a commodity that you don’t need for 3 months, if you’re a merchant. Hedging accounts for around 20 per cent of futures trading. The other 80 per cent is accounted for by speculators, who seek to profit from price fluctuations in commodities or other markets (e.g. foreign exchange) and believe they know which way the price will move.

When the internet enabled more and more people to trade in the financial markets, brokers used the increased profits this brought them to invest in software that enabled clients to trade using an interface on their computer screens. The active participation of the broker was not normally required. This reduced costs considerably and led to a drastic reduction in brokers’ fees, hence Discount Futures Trading.

Another benefit of internet technology was that whereas brokers had only been able to offer the Mini S&P 500 for online trading, from the late 1990s the whole range – stocks, indices, currencies, commodities, and so on – became available for online trading.

This situation was compounded in 2003, when a minimum equity of $25,000 was imposed on day traders, diverting them in droves to Discount Futures Trading.

Great story so far, isn’t it? Not only a low cost of trading, but leverage too. Leverage means you can trade with, say, $100,000 of stock or currency when you only have $10,000 in your account. That’s because very often only a 10 per cent deposit is required. So if your stock or currency increases in value by 5 per cent in a couple of days, which is quite commonplace, you actually gain a 50 per cent profit on your $10,000.

But there’s also a downside, and it is this. Just as it is easy to make huge profits very quickly, you can just as easily lose all your money if you’re not careful. And the tragic thing is that most of the new traders turning to discount futures trading are new to financial trading in general and don’t take this fact seriously. They are sitting ducks, waiting to be fleeced by the shrewder, more experienced traders who accept the rules of the game – that trading is not a license to print money and that they are inevitably going to have some losing trades.

Once you realise that, you have probably increased your chances of success in futures trading by at least 50 per cent. What else can you do to ensure your long term success at this business?

First, be wary of the advice and information made available to you by brokers. Their interests are not necessarily the same as yours. Secondly, find yourself a mentor – someone who trades successfully in the futures markets. They are there if you look for them, and some are willing to teach you how to do discount futures trading successfully.

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1 comment Author: Philip Filled under: Discount Trading

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